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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: OVERVALUED

Forward P/E 35.77x is 2.10x the peer median of 17.03x, with trailing P/E 66.99x, P/S 15.41x and PEG 2.09 — a premium far above the 1.3x level the rules require exceptional growth to justify. Latest-quarter revenue grew a strong +22.0% year over year (PRIMARY/EDGAR), but that is well short of the +50% exceptional-growth test, and PEG above 2 confirms growth does not pay for the premium. This is OVERVALUED, not BUBBLE: earnings are real and substantial and delivered growth supports a premium, just not one this large. Delivered demand check: the cluster median grew +14.9% year over year — demand rising.

35.8×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
17.0×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
67.0×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
15.4×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Moves toward FAIRLY PRICED if revenue growth accelerates to +35% or better for two consecutive quarters with the forward P/E unchanged, or the price falls enough to bring the forward P/E to about 25x or below at unchanged estimates. Moves toward BUBBLE territory if revenue growth slows below +10% year over year while the forward P/E stays above 35x.

In simple words

Cadence makes essential chip-design software and is growing at a healthy 22%, but its shares cost about 36 times next year's expected profit — roughly double what similar software companies cost. You are paying a very full price for a good business, so any slowdown would likely hurt the share price.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)S&P 500 (SPY)
671472263063862021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Cadence Design Systems returned +201.00% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Cadence Design Systems: -34.2% (2026-06-02 to 2026-09-15). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E 35.77x is 2.10x the peer median of 17.03x, with trailing P/E 66.99x, P/S 15.41x and PEG 2.09 — a premium far above the 1.3x level the rules require exceptional growth to justify. Latest-quarter revenue grew a strong +22.0% year over year (PRIMARY/EDGAR), but that is well short of the +50% exceptional-growth test, and PEG above 2 confirms growth does not pay for the premium. This is OVERVALUED, not BUBBLE: earnings are real and substantial and delivered growth supports a premium, just not one this large. Delivered demand check: the cluster median grew +14.9% year over year — demand rising. The company’s forward P/E is 35.8× against a peer median of 17.0×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Application software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 14.9% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +22.0% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Cadence Design Systems (CDNS)$336.9235.8×67.0×
ADBE$248.099.2×13.8×
SNPS$474.4226.9×84.1×
INTU$328.0713.8×19.9×
DDOG$280.37105.7×571.6×
WDAY$205.4617.0×42.3×
Peer median17.0×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales and profit each quarter
SalesNet income (profit)
$0B$1B$1B$2BSep 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Sep 2026

This company does not report a gross-profit line in its SEC facts (normal for banks, payment networks and some health insurers), so profit is shown as net income instead — gross margin is marked UNVERIFIED-absent rather than estimated.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-1B$0B$1BSep 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Sep 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Sep 2026
2026-09-30
$1.6B—$290M1.05$362M
Q/E Jun 2026
2026-06-30
$1.6B—$367M1.33$582M
Q/E Mar 2026
2026-03-31
$1.5B—$336M1.23$307M
Q/E Dec 2025
2025-12-31
$1.4B—$388M—$512M
Q/E Sep 2025
2025-09-30
$1.3B—$287M1.05$277M
Q/E Jun 2025
2025-06-30
$1.3B—$160M0.59$334M
Q/E Mar 2025
2025-03-31
$1.2B—$274M1.00$464M
Q/E Dec 2024
2024-12-31
$1.4B—$340M—$404M
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-30
$1.2B—$238M0.87$383M
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-30
$1.1B—$230M0.84$127M
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-31
$1.0B—$248M0.91$204M
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-31
$1.1B—$324M—$238M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 25-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Dec 2022
—
Mar 2023
0.89
Jun 2023
0.81
Sep 2023
0.93
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
0.91
Jun 2024
0.84
Sep 2024
0.87
Dec 2024
—
Mar 2025
1.00
Jun 2025
0.59
Sep 2025
1.05
Dec 2025
—
Mar 2026
1.23
Jun 2026
1.33
Sep 2026
1.05

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)CADENCE DESIGN SYSTEMS INC
Chief executiveAnirudh Devgan (source: https://newsroom.lamresearch.com/2026-02-03-Lam-Research-Appoints-Cadence-CEO-Anirudh-Devgan-to-Board-of-Directors)
SectorTechnology — Application Software — sells electronic design automation software used to design chips and electronic systems
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$336.92
Market value (market cap)$94.1B — share price times shares outstanding of 274,379,000 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$6.1B
Net income, last twelve months$1.4B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$1.8B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Sep 2026 (of 25 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+201.00% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-34.2% (2026-06-02 to 2026-09-15)

What we could not verify

  • Gross profit / gross margin: not tagged as a standalone line in this company's EDGAR company facts (common for banks, payment networks and some healthcare payers) — shown as UNVERIFIED-absent; the page charts revenue and net income instead.
  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000813672.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000813672.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/CDNS/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

Filed under: Stock X-Ray · Technology · CDNS