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Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Technology · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Fortinet (FTNT)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: OVERVALUED

Forward P/E is 51.9x against a peer median of 41.38x, a ratio of 1.25x, with trailing P/E 64.49x and PEG 3.22 — and that peer median is itself lifted by very expensive security peers. Latest-quarter revenue grew 25.6% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), solid but not enough to pay for a PEG above 3. Delivered demand check: the Systems software group's median growth was 24.8% — demand rising, at essentially the same pace Fortinet itself delivered, so there is no growth edge to justify the premium.

51.9×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
41.4×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
64.5×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
18.0×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Move to FAIRLY PRICED if the forward P/E compresses to about 45x or below (1.10x the peer median) at unchanged estimates, or if revenue growth rises above 35% year over year with PEG falling below 2.0. Move further from fair value if growth falls below 15% year over year while the forward P/E stays above 50x.

In simple words

Fortinet sells important security products and its sales grew about 26%, but its shares are expensive even compared with other pricey security companies. You pay a lot for each dollar of expected profit relative to how fast profits are growing. The business is strong; the price is ahead of it.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
Figure 1 — The share price vs the market — six years
Fortinet (FTNT)S&P 500 (SPY)
372264156047932021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Fortinet returned +608.70% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Fortinet: -38.3% (2023-07-17 to 2023-11-07). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 51.9x against a peer median of 41.38x, a ratio of 1.25x, with trailing P/E 64.49x and PEG 3.22 — and that peer median is itself lifted by very expensive security peers. Latest-quarter revenue grew 25.6% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), solid but not enough to pay for a PEG above 3. Delivered demand check: the Systems software group's median growth was 24.8% — demand rising, at essentially the same pace Fortinet itself delivered, so there is no growth edge to justify the premium. The company’s forward P/E is 51.9× against a peer median of 41.4×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the Systems software group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 24.8% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. Latest-quarter sales growth was +25.6% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

Table 1
CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Fortinet (FTNT)$182.5051.9×64.5×
NOW$153.7033.9×96.0×
TWLO$255.9541.4×35.4×
GEN$24.088.0×14.1×
CRWD$269.00190.4×7297.1×
PANW$398.0095.3×995.0×
Peer median41.4×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Figure 2 — Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$1B$2B$2B0%50%99%Sep 2020Sep 2021Sep 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Jun 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Figure 3 — Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-1B$0B$1BSep 2020Sep 2021Sep 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Jun 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

Table 2
QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Jun 2026
2026-06-30
$2.0B80.2%$606M0.82$966M
Q/E Mar 2026
2026-03-31
$1.8B80.3%$534M0.72$1.0B
Q/E Dec 2025
2025-12-31
$1.9B79.6%$506M—$577M
Q/E Sep 2025
2025-09-30
$1.7B80.8%$474M0.62$568M
Q/E Jun 2025
2025-06-30
$1.6B80.7%$440M0.57$284M
Q/E Mar 2025
2025-03-31
$1.5B81.0%$433M0.56$797M
Q/E Dec 2024
2024-12-31
$1.7B81.1%$526M—$380M
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-30
$1.5B82.5%$540M0.70$572M
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-30
$1.4B80.8%$380M0.49$319M
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-31
$1.4B77.5%$299M0.39$608M
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-31
$1.4B77.7%$311M——
Q/E Sep 2023
2023-09-30
$1.3B76.2%$323M0.41$481M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Sep 2022
0.29
Dec 2022
—
Mar 2023
0.31
Jun 2023
0.33
Sep 2023
0.41
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
0.39
Jun 2024
0.49
Sep 2024
0.70
Dec 2024
—
Mar 2025
0.56
Jun 2025
0.57
Sep 2025
0.62
Dec 2025
—
Mar 2026
0.72
Jun 2026
0.82

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

Table 3
ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)Fortinet, Inc.
Chief executiveKen Xie (source: https://www.fortinet.com/uk/corporate/about-us/executive-management)
SectorTechnology — Systems Software — sells network security and cybersecurity products and services
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$182.50
Market value (market cap)$135.7B — share price times shares outstanding of 733,713,653 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$7.5B
Net income, last twelve months$2.1B
Free cash flow, last twelve months$3.1B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Jun 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+608.70% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-38.3% (2023-07-17 to 2023-11-07)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Free cash flow is absent for one or more quarters: either the filer does not separately tag PP&E purchases in its EDGAR cash-flow facts (common for banks), or — for a successor registrant's newest quarter — the cash-flow lines are year-to-date without the prior-quarter rung needed to difference them. Affected quarters are null in the data, never estimated.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001262039.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0001262039.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/FTNT/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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