Strativest CapitalSTRATIVEST RESEARCH
Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Consumer Staples · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: FAIRLY PRICED

Forward P/E is 12.45x against a peer median of 13.57x, a ratio of 0.92x — inside the 0.90 to 1.15 fairly priced band, near its cheap edge — with trailing P/E 58.29x and PEG 2.01. Latest-quarter revenue grew 5.0% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), a little below the group median, and the PEG is above 1.2, so the tests for a move to undervalued are not met. Delivered demand check: the packaged foods, meats & agriculture group's median growth was 5.8% — demand steady, and this company is growing close to that pace.

12.4×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
13.6×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
58.3×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
1.5×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Move to UNDERVALUED if the forward P/E compresses to about 12.2x or below (0.90x the peer median) at unchanged estimates while revenue growth rises to at least the group median of 5.8% year over year and the PEG falls to about 1.2 or below. Move to OVERVALUED if the forward P/E rises above about 15.6x (1.15x the peer median) without a matching rise in growth, or if revenue growth falls to zero or below.

In simple words

Smucker sells familiar packaged foods such as peanut butter, jam and coffee, and its sales grew about 5% in the latest quarter. Its shares cost about 12 times next year's expected earnings, slightly less than similar food companies at about 14 times. That small discount matches its slightly slower growth, so the shares look fairly priced.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
The share price vs the market — six years
J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM)S&P 500 (SPY)
651071481902322021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window J.M. Smucker Company (The) returned +8.01% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for J.M. Smucker Company (The): -44.9% (2023-01-06 to 2026-04-13). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 12.45x against a peer median of 13.57x, a ratio of 0.92x — inside the 0.90 to 1.15 fairly priced band, near its cheap edge — with trailing P/E 58.29x and PEG 2.01. Latest-quarter revenue grew 5.0% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), a little below the group median, and the PEG is above 1.2, so the tests for a move to undervalued are not met. Delivered demand check: the packaged foods, meats & agriculture group's median growth was 5.8% — demand steady, and this company is growing close to that pace. The company’s forward P/E is 12.4× against a peer median of 13.6×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the packaged foods, meats & agriculture group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 5.8% year over year (SEC filings) — demand steady. This company grew a little slower than that median, at 5.0%. Latest-quarter sales growth was +5.0% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
J.M. Smucker Company (The) (SJM)$125.2412.4×58.3×
MKC$45.9814.9×8.3×
HRL$20.6813.6×33.3×
GIS$33.1610.7×—
BG$101.109.7×19.7×
TSN$55.6216.0×34.4×
Peer median13.6×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Sales each quarter, and the gross margin
SalesGross margin (right axis)
$0B$1B$2B$3B0%26%53%Oct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Jul 2026

Gross margin = gross profit divided by sales, from SEC filings.

Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-0B$0B$0BOct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Oct 2023Oct 2024Oct 2025Jul 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Jul 2026
2026-07-31
$2.2B44.1%$324M3.03$337M
Q/E Apr 2026
2026-04-30
$2.3B38.0%$388M—$484M
Q/E Jan 2026
2026-01-31
$2.3B35.4%$-724M-6.79$487M
Q/E Oct 2025
2025-10-31
$2.3B37.3%$241M2.26$280M
Q/E Jul 2025
2025-07-31
$2.1B22.5%$-44M-0.41$-95M
Q/E Apr 2025
2025-04-30
$2.1B38.4%$-729M—$299M
Q/E Jan 2025
2025-01-31
$2.2B40.2%$-662M-6.22$151M
Q/E Oct 2024
2024-10-31
$2.3B39.0%$-24M-0.23$317M
Q/E Jul 2024
2024-07-31
$2.1B37.5%$185M1.74$49M
Q/E Apr 2024
2024-04-30
$2.2B41.4%$245M—$298M
Q/E Jan 2024
2024-01-31
$2.2B36.9%$120M1.13$250M
Q/E Oct 2023
2023-10-31
$1.9B37.4%$195M1.90$28M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Oct 2022
1.79
Jan 2023
1.95
Apr 2023
—
Jul 2023
1.79
Oct 2023
1.90
Jan 2024
1.13
Apr 2024
—
Jul 2024
1.74
Oct 2024
-0.23
Jan 2025
-6.22
Apr 2025
—
Jul 2025
-0.41
Oct 2025
2.26
Jan 2026
-6.79
Apr 2026
—
Jul 2026
3.03

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)J M SMUCKER Co
Chief executiveMark Smucker (source: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smuckers)
SectorConsumer Staples — Packaged Foods & Meats — sells packaged foods including peanut butter, fruit spreads, coffee and pet food
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$125.24
Market value (market cap)$13.6B — share price times shares outstanding of 106,823,183 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$9.2B
Net income, last twelve months$230M
Free cash flow, last twelve months$1.6B
Latest reported quarterQ/E Jul 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+8.01% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-44.9% (2023-01-06 to 2026-04-13)

What we could not verify

  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E range not yet compiled for this company in the Phase 1 batch run; the label rests on peer-median, growth and PEG evidence.
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000091419.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000091419.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/SJM/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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