Strativest CapitalSTRATIVEST RESEARCH
Independent research · Est. October 2026
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Stock X-Ray · Industrials · S&P 500 Full Coverage — Phase 1

Textron (TXT)

X-Ray dated Oct 28, 2026 · Share price as of Oct 28, 2026 intraday, when the valuation snapshot was captured · Financials from SEC filings (EDGAR) · Valuation multiples from a labelled secondary source
The verdict — valuation label: UNDERVALUED

Forward P/E is 11.68x against a peer median of 20.94x, a ratio of 0.56x — well below the fair range — with trailing P/E 14.69x and PEG 1.10. Latest-quarter revenue grew 3.0% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), well below the group pace, which is a caution. Value-trap check: revenue is growing, not shrinking, and the group median growth is positive, so the discount is not explained by falling sales. Delivered demand check: the aerospace & defense group's median growth was 11.0% year over year — demand rising.

11.7×
Forward P/E — price vs next year’s expected earnings (secondary source)
20.9×
Peer median forward P/E — closest comparable companies
14.7×
Trailing P/E — price vs the last twelve months of earnings
0.9×
Price / sales

What would change this label: Move to FAIRLY PRICED if the forward P/E rises to about 18.8x or above (0.90x the peer median) at unchanged estimates, or if revenue growth rises above 11% year over year for two quarters, which would close the growth gap behind the caution. Move further from fair value if the forward P/E falls below about 10.5x (0.50x the peer median) while revenue growth stays positive.

In simple words

Textron makes business jets, helicopters and industrial vehicles, and its sales grew only 3.0% in the latest quarter, well behind similar companies. Its shares are priced at barely half the earnings multiple those peers charge, a much bigger gap than the slower growth explains. The shares look undervalued, with the slow growth as the main caution.

Words we use, in plain English: P/E ratio — the share price divided by earnings per share; how many dollars you pay for one dollar of yearly profit. Forward P/E — the same, using next year’s expected earnings. Free cash flow — cash a company has left after running the business and buying equipment. TTM — the last twelve months. Drawdown — the worst fall from a peak to the low after it.
The share price vs the market — six years
Textron (TXT)S&P 500 (SPY)
681181692192692021202220232024202520262020-09-012026-10-27

Both lines start at 100 on 2020-09-01. Over the full window Textron returned +98.43% and the S&P 500 +118.28% (price returns; dividends not reinvested). Worst peak-to-trough fall for Textron: -37.4% (2024-04-08 to 2025-04-04). Source: Nasdaq official daily history.

What the label rests on

Forward P/E is 11.68x against a peer median of 20.94x, a ratio of 0.56x — well below the fair range — with trailing P/E 14.69x and PEG 1.10. Latest-quarter revenue grew 3.0% year over year (PRIMARY, EDGAR), well below the group pace, which is a caution. Value-trap check: revenue is growing, not shrinking, and the group median growth is positive, so the discount is not explained by falling sales. Delivered demand check: the aerospace & defense group's median growth was 11.0% year over year — demand rising. The company’s forward P/E is 11.7× against a peer median of 20.9×. Its own history: UNVERIFIED — no sourced range available. Sector demand read: Delivered demand check: the aerospace & defense group's median latest-quarter revenue growth was 11.0% year over year (SEC filings) — demand rising. This company grew much more slowly than the group, at 3.0%. Latest-quarter sales growth was +3.0% versus a year earlier (SEC filings).

CompanyPrice (Oct 28, 2026)Forward P/ETrailing P/E
Textron (TXT)$77.8711.7×14.7×
HII—14.3×16.7×
AXON—47.3×175.4×
LHX—20.9×26.1×
HONA—20.4×27.1×
TDG—24.3×34.4×
Peer median20.9×

Multiples: stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026. Peer set chosen by sector; the median is the middle value of the set. The label and its numbers were recorded in the programme’s label registry on Oct 28, 2026 and will be scored at 6 and 12 months.

Sales, profit and cash

Sales and profit each quarter
SalesNet income (profit)
$0B$2B$3B$5BOct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Jul 2026

This company does not report a gross-profit line in its SEC facts (normal for banks, payment networks and some health insurers), so profit is shown as net income instead — gross margin is marked UNVERIFIED-absent rather than estimated.

Cash left over each quarter (free cash flow)
PositiveNegative
$-1B$0B$1BOct 2020Oct 2021Oct 2022Sep 2023Sep 2024Sep 2025Jul 2026

Free cash flow = cash from operations minus spending on plant and equipment, both from the company’s SEC cash-flow statement. Gaps are quarters where that spending line is not separately tagged in the filings — shown as gaps, never estimated.

QuarterSalesGross marginNet incomeEPS (GAAP, diluted)Free cash flow
Q/E Jul 2026
2026-07-04
$3.8B—$248M1.42$209M
Q/E Apr 2026
2026-04-04
$3.7B—$220M1.25$-250M
Q/E Jan 2026
2026-01-03
$4.2B—$235M—$527M
Q/E Sep 2025
2025-09-27
$3.6B—$234M—$273M
Q/E Jun 2025
2025-06-28
$3.7B—$245M1.35$309M
Q/E Mar 2025
2025-03-29
$3.3B—$207M1.13$-180M
Q/E Dec 2024
2024-12-28
$3.6B—$141M—$293M
Q/E Sep 2024
2024-09-28
$3.4B—$223M—$137M
Q/E Jun 2024
2024-06-29
$3.5B—$259M—$293M
Q/E Mar 2024
2024-03-30
$3.1B—$201M1.03$-73M
Q/E Dec 2023
2023-12-30
$3.9B—$198M—$371M
Q/E Sep 2023
2023-09-30
$3.3B—$269M—$179M

The last twelve reported quarters. Full 24-quarter history sits in the data pack behind this page. A dash means the figure is not tagged as a standalone quarter in the company’s SEC facts (the usual case is the fourth quarter, which many companies only report inside the full-year filing) — it is missing, not zero.

Earnings: getting better or worse?

Each box is one quarter’s earnings per share (EPS). Green means EPS was higher than the same quarter a year earlier; red means lower; a dash means the figure is not tagged in the filings.

Oct 2022
—
Dec 2022
—
Apr 2023
0.92
Jul 2023
—
Sep 2023
—
Dec 2023
—
Mar 2024
1.03
Jun 2024
—
Sep 2024
—
Dec 2024
—
Mar 2025
1.13
Jun 2025
1.35
Sep 2025
—
Jan 2026
—
Apr 2026
1.25
Jul 2026
1.42

Basis: GAAP diluted EPS from SEC company facts, compared with the same quarter a year earlier.

Key facts

ItemValue
Company (legal name in filings)TEXTRON INC
Chief executiveLisa Atherton (source: https://investor.textron.com/news-releases/news-details/2025/Textron-Announces-Appointment-of-Lisa-Atherton-as-its-President-and-CEO-and-as-a-Member-of-the-Board-Effective-January-4-2026-Scott-Donnelly-Appointed-Executive-Chairman-of-the-Board/default.aspx)
SectorIndustrials — Aerospace & Defense — makes business jets, helicopters and industrial vehicles
Share price (Oct 28, 2026)$77.87
Market value (market cap)$13.4B — share price times shares outstanding of 171,986,917 (SEC filings; SEC EDGAR dei EntityCommonStockSharesOutstanding (latest))
Sales, last twelve months$15.3B
Net income, last twelve months$937M
Free cash flow, last twelve months$759M
Latest reported quarterQ/E Jul 2026 (of 24 quarters in the data pack)
Six-year price return vs S&P 500+98.43% vs +118.28%
Worst peak-to-trough fall-37.4% (2024-04-08 to 2025-04-04)

What we could not verify

  • Gross profit / gross margin: not tagged as a standalone line in this company's EDGAR company facts (common for banks, payment networks and some healthcare payers) — shown as UNVERIFIED-absent; the page charts revenue and net income instead.
  • TTM GAAP diluted EPS could not be summed from company facts because at least one of the last four quarters (typically Q4) has no standalone tagged EPS; trailing P/E is therefore taken from the labelled secondary source in valuation_label.md.
  • Own-history P/E (5-year median): not computed in the Phase 1 batch — UNVERIFIED
  • Guidance record (each quarter scored against the guidance the company gave the quarter before) is not yet compiled for this company — it is a Phase 2 layer. The earnings strip below therefore uses reported EPS versus a year earlier, which is fully sourced from filings.

The IT factor — the most exciting thing the market is overlooking — is not assessed on an X-Ray page. It belongs to the Deep Dive (Phase 2), where it gets the evidence standard it needs. Leadership-era scoring (the six years split by chief executive) is likewise a Phase 2 layer; this page names the current chief executive only, from a sourced profile.

Sources

  • SEC EDGAR submissions — Filing index; company legal name. https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0000217346.json
  • SEC EDGAR company facts — Quarterly financial spine: revenue, gross profit, net income, GAAP diluted EPS, operating cash flow, PP&E capex, buybacks, dividends, diluted shares. https://data.sec.gov/api/xbrl/companyfacts/CIK0000217346.json
  • Nasdaq official daily history — Daily closes for the company; SPY (assetclass=etf) saved as raw/nasdaq_spy_raw.json over identical dates. https://api.nasdaq.com/api/quote/TXT/historical?assetclass=stocks
  • Valuation multiples and peer figures — stockanalysis.com (SECONDARY, S&P Global data), fetched Oct 28, 2026; see valuation_label.md in the data pack.

Conventions: earliest-filed value per period, as first reported; cash-flow years-to-date differenced quarter by quarter; EPS never differenced; free cash flow = operating cash flow minus plant-and-equipment spending. This page is a dated snapshot — updates are new versions, never silent edits.

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